Staredit Network > Forums > Null > Topic: I hate stats
I hate stats
Mar 8 2009, 12:40 am
By: JaFF  

Mar 8 2009, 12:40 am JaFF Post #1



I have coursework that's due on monday, most of which I can easily solve. However, this short question is beyond my understanding. It's probably easy as pi, but I can't get my head around it:

The number of breakdowns per week for a type of computer is a random variable Y having a Poisson distribution with mean mu. A random sample Y1, Y2... Yn of observations on the weekly number of breakdowns is available. The weekly cost of reparing the breakdowns is C = 3Y + Y^2. Show that E[C] = 4mu + mu^2. Also find a function of Y1, Y2... Yn that is an unbiased estimator for E[C].

OK, we have that the unbiased estimator of Y is E[Ybar], right? So what? I know how to deal with variables of form M = aX + b, but nothing above the linear case.

Some educated help please?



None.

Mar 8 2009, 1:46 am Fire_Kame Post #2

wth is starcraft

Here's your answer:

"The poisson distribution is an unfair explanation of things that happen naturally, and is rather sacrilegious. Who are we to assign numerical probabilities to things that are left in God's hands?"

I've wanted to put that answer down since I took probability in high school. And when I got to bus stats in college, I wussed out. :( I needed it to graduate. Sorry for wasting your time.




Mar 8 2009, 2:17 am JaFF Post #3



Oh it's allright, don't worry. Probability says that most of the replies in this topic won't be constructive, since SEN isn't exactly a math forum. ;)



None.

Mar 8 2009, 2:20 am Fire_Kame Post #4

wth is starcraft

Honest, if I hadn't sold that textbook back to the bookstore you'd probably have my help.




Mar 8 2009, 11:18 pm A_of-s_t Post #5

aka idmontie

I'm not that good with Poisson Distribution, but this might help:





Personal GitHub
Starcraft GitHub Organization - Feel free to request member status!
TwitchTV

Mar 8 2009, 11:44 pm MillenniumArmy Post #6



If random Variable Y has a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, then E(Y) = V(Y) = λ. With the limits being np -> λ and np(1-p) -> λ



None.

Mar 9 2009, 12:00 am JaFF Post #7



Quote from MillenniumArmy
If random Variable Y has a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, then E(Y) = V(Y) = λ. With the limits being np -> λ and np(1-p) -> λ
Yes, assuming the right conditions it is close to the binomial distribution?.. Also, by the CLT, assuming sample is big enough, we can use Ybar ~~ N(mu, mu/n), right?

...so what does that give me? >_< Sorry if I don't see what you're trying to tell me - it's almost 12 in the evening here, so be a bit less subtle please. :P



None.

Mar 9 2009, 12:02 am A_of-s_t Post #8

aka idmontie

Quote from JaFF
Quote from MillenniumArmy
If random Variable Y has a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, then E(Y) = V(Y) = λ. With the limits being np -> λ and np(1-p) -> λ
Yes, assuming the right conditions it is close to the binomial distribution?.. Also, by the CLT, assuming sample is big enough, we can use Ybar ~~ N(mu, mu/n), right?

"For large n and small p, with np = λ, the binomial distribution Bi(n,p) approximates to Po(λ)," says the Collins dictionary of Mathematics.

Post has been edited 1 time(s), last time on Mar 9 2009, 12:10 am by A_of-s_t.



Personal GitHub
Starcraft GitHub Organization - Feel free to request member status!
TwitchTV

Mar 9 2009, 12:15 am JaFF Post #9



Yeah, that's what I said, which does not bring me closer to the truth.

...and my time is running out. Soon, the tide of total sleepiness shall conquer my mind.



None.

Options
  Back to forum
Please log in to reply to this topic or to report it.
Members in this topic: None.
[02:13 pm]
Vrael -- pee poo sibling
[2026-6-28. : 7:00 pm]
Symmetry -- poo poo papa
[2026-6-28. : 2:46 pm]
lil-Inferno -- pee pee child
[2026-6-27. : 6:10 pm]
Ultraviolet -- sweet summer child
[2026-6-26. : 10:31 am]
NudeRaider -- blessed innocent soul knows nothing of the strife we had before EUDs were discovered :teehee:
[2026-6-23. : 3:29 am]
DarkenedFantasies -- Probably just didn't care. For example, at some point before release, they've updated the graphics of some of the Protoss buildings (Forge, CyberCore, Citadel, Observatory, Arbiter Tribunal), but instead of properly re-rendering them with edited 3D models, they did crappy copy-paste jobs on the rendered graphics.
[2026-6-22. : 8:35 pm]
Ultraviolet -- :wob:
[2026-6-21. : 11:38 pm]
Symmetry -- :wob:
[2026-6-21. : 4:56 am]
Ultraviolet -- I suppose we'll likely never know, but my guess would be that they already saw it operating successfully and there was no monetary incentive to finish the original work. And the dev cycle in old school Blizzard was so hectic, it's possible it just got forgotten about after the original game got released. Plus there's an element of existing MPQ files that were packaged with the original discs becoming outdated if they updated it. And it's not like they remade the original MPQs, they just made new ones for BW specifically
[2026-6-21. : 4:26 am]
Oh_Man -- so that makes me think maybe the theory they are unfinished is not true and its a deliberate design decision, coz why not finish them wen ur making brood war?
Please log in to shout.


Members Online: jun3hong